Pretty Good Sports


NFL Draft Prop Bet Breakdown

Austin Vershel

10.) Will a Top 10 Pick be traded on draft day?

Yes -700
No +400

Heavy odds on a top 10 pick being traded. Easiest one, I will hammer YES here.

9.) Quarterbacks selected in Round 1: 3.5

We can pretty much lock in Kyler Murray as a top 10 pick, but who else could we see? Haskins, Lock, and Jones and potentially Grier are the remainders of the top tier of QBs. I think we definitely get 3, the question is will both Lock and Jones go first round? Give me the UNDER at exactly 3 QBs with Murray, Haskins, Jones.

8.) Ed Oliver Draft position: 8.5

This prop implies that either the Lions will draft Oliver at 8 or the Bills will draft Oliver at 9. Rumors are getting louder the Oliver can go earlier than we expect, so I will take the UNDER here.

7.) Clemson Players selected in round 1: 2.5

I will hammer the UNDER here. Wilkins and Ferrell are locks to be first round picks. Can Trayvon Mullen or Dexter Lawrence sneak into the first round? We will see.

6.) Total 1st round draft day trades: 7.5

My heart wants the over, but my brain demands the under. 8 trades seems like a lot, considering the Browns and Chiefs have already traded away their picks.

5.) How many receivers drafted in round 1: 2.5

This one scares me... Besides Metcalf and Hollywood Brown, there is no clear 3rd best WR to me. Could Riley Ridley or Terry McLaurin sneak into round 1? My wallet says UNDER.

4.) Dwayne Haskins draft position: 10.5

With the Bengals picking at 11, this is a sneaky bet that assumes someone will trade up for Haskins. I will take the OVER.

3.) Defensive Players picked in top 10: 6.5

This is very tough. Can write in Murray and maybe Jawaan Taylor as top 10 picks. Is it possible 2 more teams pick offensive players? There is a high chance that someone trades up for a quarterback, which sets the line now at 7 defensive players. Do you believe that Hockenson or a 3rd QB will go top 10? If so, Hammer the UNDER on this bet.

2.) Will Josh Rosen be traded on Day 1 of the draft?

Another tough one. I think Rosen gets traded but it is looking like it might be for a day 2 pick, which means he might get traded on Day 2 of the draft. I vote NO.

1.) Is Kyler Murray going First Overall?

I cant tell if this is very difficult or very easy. The odds are -500 so you would need to bet 500 to win 100, implying that he is a heavy favorite to go first. Really though? A year ago we never even considered him to be an NFL QB. My official vote here is YES, but would not be surprised to see that this was all a smokescreen.