AFC East:
Buffalo Bills (2-1)
- By default the Bills are currently in first place, but I still think it's a tad bit of a farce. They have beaten the lowly Jets, barely lost to the offensively challenged Panthers, and a Broncos team coming off a huge win. Not going to lie that win against the Broncos is impressive, but I was never totally sold on Siemian like some people were after they beat the Cowboys. So, far for the Bills they rank 25th in total offense and an impressive 8th in total defense. The defensive stats are not surprising due to coach Sean McDermott's track record. First round rookie Tre'Davious White has been heavily targeted due to newly acquired E.J. Gaines being so good in the early goings. Zay Jones along with Jordan Matthews have been okay, but this is still a heavy run first team. We will see what this team is really made of when they go to face the Falcons this week. Then they go onto face the Bengals, Bucs, and Raiders. They should be able to go toe to toe with the Bucs and should beat the Bengals. I can also be a surprising upset pick over the Raiders who have to travel East, which never goes well for them. I expect a 4-3 record by the end of next month.
New England Patriots (2-1)
- Bam! That was a rude awakening for the defending champs in their first game against the Chiefs. To me that will be more poster board material for the Patriots rather than a truth of what they really are. Not going to lie I did question where the pass rush was going to come from in my season predictions and so far that is there biggest Achilles' heel. They currently reside in last place in yard per game against with 437 yards. Part of that is how poorly they played against the Chiefs, but then they went on to give up a ton of yards to the Saints and Texans. In reality they should probably be 1-2 if the Texans can figure out how to finish this team off. However, as long as Brady is upright I can see this team still winning this division, but unlike people who still have them as favorites to win the AFC Championship I think otherwise. Mostly due to their pathetic pass rush, which is vital in the playoffs. Up coming in the next four weeks they face off with the Panthers, Bucs, Jets and a Super Bowl rematch with the Falcons. They should beat the Jets and Panthers. I would not be surprised if they lose to the Bucs or the Falcons. I'll go with the over and give them a 5-2 record.
Miami Dolphins (1-1)
- Well, a week after looking solid against the Chargers they proceed to look like they forgot they had a game on Sunday versus the Jets. Thanks guys, I had you in all my Survivor Pools so I am a bit salty here. Everyone had them as a playoff team just because of Jay Cutler, which is a farce to me. He had good teams in Chicago and still could not win games. To me the Dolphins are not much better than ones he had in the past. Now he just cares even less since he will be gone after a year. The biggest issue is their soft secondary that has given up 278 passing yard per game. That number is a bit skewed thanks to them not playing their first game. They also have not played any tough passing teams besides the Chargers. Their schedule also has done no favors on them with two road games against the Chargers and Jets. Now they have to go across the pond to play the Saints in London. Then they finally have their first home game against the Titans. Then another road game against the Falcons followed by a home game against the Jets. I would not be surprised if their only win in those four games come from the Jets in a revenge game. Obviously, I am low on this team, but I was to start the year. A record of 2-4 at the end of October is very possible for this squad.
New York Jets (1-2)
- They are only behind the Dolphins by default cause they played an extra game. At this point they are playing like I expected them with a poor offense and a better than expected defense. Even with trading Sheldon Richardson for a surprisingly useful Jermaine Kearse they still have a pretty stout defense. Of course they looked bad against the Raiders and Bills, but I can see them still steal wins along the season. Enough to ruin their hopes at drafting one of the top quarterbacks. Their defense currently ranks 25th in yard per game with 347 which is not good, but they are still better than a few other teams. Jamal Adams if he was on a better team would have a real shot to win Rookie Defensive Player of the Year, but on the Jets he will not get too many votes. The next four weeks they face off against the Jags, Browns, Patriots and the Dolphins again. I doubt they beat the Jags and their formidable defense. Same goes with the Pats and their equally formidable offense. The Dolphins will also most likely show up this time against them. Maybe they can beat the Browns in a battle to see who is worst. 2-5 at the end of the month or lower is possible.
AFC North:
Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1)
- This is one of the team's everyone had high hopes for, but so far I have yet to see them play like a possible Super Bowl contender. They looked bad in their first game against the Browns in a win and had the luck of playing the Vikings with Case Keenum on limited practice time. Then they barely looked like they were ready to play against Chicago in the loss. Part of that I think is with the coaching where he has them out of sync and never ready to play on the road compared to at home with fans backing them. The team seems a bit disjointed and not very much in harmony. I am not saying the whole anthem thing has something to do with it, but the way Tomlin runs his locker room seems to be rubbing players the wrong way. Their offense should eventually find it when they get balance between the run and pass to play more in rhythm. Their defense however, to me has never looked more than average and looks more the same from last year. Currently, they rank 21st in total offense for a team people expected to be explosive and 3rd in total defense. Remember however, they played DeShone Kizer in his first game, Case Keenum on limited practice, and a Bears team that cannot throw the ball. They should be 3rd, but how long can you go by giving up 122 rushing yards per game. The next four games they face divisional rivals the Ravens who are coming off an equally embarrassing loss. Then the tough Jags, then the possibly best team in the AFC Chiefs, and finally against a cupcake in the Bengals. A 4-3 record or worst is possible.
Baltimore Ravens (2-1)
- I think the Ravens showed the full gambit of what they can be this year. They have a suffocating defense, but sometimes good defenses can get torn up. At which point they need their offense to step up. This Ravens offense predictably dropped the ball and they got humiliated in London. I think these types of results will continue all throughout the season, which makes this team hard to predict. Ozzie Newsome has been a great defensive talent finder, but I think he needs someone to help him with offensive players. At least, have a guy remind him he needs to draft some offensive players instead of bringing in receivers who are over the hill. I also think they need to look into their training staff and medical people with how many injuries they have had over the years. At this point I do not think it's a fluke anymore and there might be something really connected here. Their upcoming match ups include the Steelers at home, Raiders on the road, then the Bears at home, and Vikings on the road. Splitting those games would be considered a win if you were the Ravens. The Steeler match up is a coin flip, but then they should beat the Bears and possibly even the Vikings. The Raiders are most likely a loss on the road. 3-4 or a 4-3 record is possible with the Steelers and Vikes match ups being a tad 50/50.
Cleveland Browns (0-3)
- Well, I may have been way off about this team. I thought they would have been better than this or at least look competitive in their losses. They have done neither and even had a terrible loss against a pathetic Colts team against Jacoby Brissett in his second game with the team. Their defense is doing their part giving up only 320 yards per game against a quality offense like the Steelers. However, their offense still cannot move the ball with only 18 points per game. They should have beaten the Colts is my point here and I will stand by the fact that they should be able to beat these bad teams like the Jets, 49ers, Bears, and even the Bengals. If they do not win these games I would actually start to think about removing Hue Jackson since he no longer has the excuse of having no players at some point you need to win games or show improvement. I hope they avoid a terrible year cause that would mean that Kizer is most likely a one year starter and the Browns will be forced to take one of the top quarterbacks. Match ups against the Bengals, Jets, Texans, and Titans. I doubt they are ready to beat the Bengals who legitimately has better talent than them, but they should be able to beat the Jets. No way they beat the Texans or Titans in my opinion. 2-5 at the end of the month is possible, but more likely a 1-6 record is the outcome.
Cincinnati Bengals (0-3)
- Not shocked by this outcome like a few people around the league and media are. I have always valued offensive linemen and see team's who do not are set up for failure. The Bengals let two of Andy Dalton's best blockers leave and failed to find anyone remotely good enough to take their place. Now we see how bad Dalton is without time to throw the ball. I also blame the game planning and how the former offensive coordinator Ken Zampese failed to run a balanced offense. With more of a dedication on the run game with Mixon, Hill, and Bernard will make defenses play Dalton more fairly instead of just pinning their ears back to get at him. Their defense is fine ranked at 9th overall in total defense. It's the offense letting this team down. They face off against the Browns, Bills, Steelers and Colts. They should win three of those games in my opinion and could even sneak a win by the Steelers. A rebound 3-4 record is possible and maybe even a 4-4 record if they catch the Steelers off guard.
AFC South:
Tennessee Titans (2-1)
- As expected the Titans who have one of the more well rounded rosters in the NFL is taking advantage of a poor AFC South. They do have a bit of competition with the Jags who look better on defense and the Texans who are always good on defense. However, they have already beaten the Jags once which helps them out going along big time. I was not shocked by the thumping of Seattle for a few reasons. One, Seattle plays terribly when they travel on the other side of the Mississippi. Secondly, their offensive line against the Titans powerful one was just a bad match up from the get go. I was also not shocked by Wilson still being able to attack the Titans soft secondary. That part still needs work after giving up 275 passing yards per game, which is 26th in the league. However, a 153 rush yards per game on offense is tops in the NFL and that is after going against three top defenses in Seattle, Raiders, and Jacksonville. That style of play will have them in control of most games no matter how many passing yards they give up with teams playing catch up. They face off with the Texans, Dolphins, Colts, and Browns. That is a pretty easy slate and I would not be shocked if they win all four games. A 6-1 record is very possible for this team.
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1)
- No two teams put themselves on the map more than the Jags and the Rams this past week. Both played amazingly well and are putting people on notice that they are not the easy wins people thought they were. The Jags continue to play terrifically on defense finally after picking up many high priced free agents and highly touted prospects defensively. They are ranked 3rd in the NFL in yards given up per game with 259 yards. Offensively they have gotten smart by running the ball more throughout games to take the ball out of Bortles' hands. With limited throws and more teams keying in on the run game Bortles has done a good job moving the ball downfield. I do not know if this is Tom Coughlin's influence, but I think this is a team to watch for going forward. They go up against the Jets, Steelers, Rams, and Colts. They should beat the Colts and Jets. That match up against the Rams will be a good game to watch now with two teams on the rise. I will also be interested to see how they can beat a better Steelers team. A 5-1 or 4-2 record is very possible for this team to end the month. Side Note: Jalen Ramsey is showing why he was considered the best player from the draft last year and can be a dark horse defensive player of the year if corners got more love in the voting for that award.
Indianapolis Colts (1-2)
- I am not going to lie. I am shocked by how competitive this team has been the past two weeks. Which, shows me this roster is not really as terrible as people are saying. They done a decent job drafting blockers like La'Raven Clark and Joe Haeg who are in their second years in the league. It would be better if Ryan Kelly could come back, but they have been okay keeping their quarterbacks up right. Jacoby Brissett to me is showcasing himself for a starting job with the way he is playing. More impressively he has been with the team for about a month now and is running the team with fantastic poise. This may have been the smartest pick up the Colts have made in a while and could net them a few first round picks if he keeps this up. Their defense is still terrible and will most likely cause them to lose more games than their offense. They currently reside 29th in yard per game given up on defense. That's after playing the Rams, Cardinals, and Browns. None of those teams are offensive juggernauts. They have a tough match up with a Seahawks team looking to get back on track. Then they duel with the equally lowly 49ers which should be a win. Followed by two divisional match ups against the Titans and the Jags. Coming out of that 2-5 is a most likely out come. If they were smart they should lose to the 49ers for a better shot at that first overall pick.
Houston Texans (1-2)
- I hate to be the one that told ya so, but I was. I had a feeling that the Texans magic with mediocre quarterbacks would be up now with both the Titans and Jags looking a lot better than in years past. Deshaun Watson is most likely going to turn out better than Texans quarterbacks in the past like Brian Hoyer. TJ Yates, Ryan Mallett, and Ryan Fitzpatrick. I just think it will take a year for him to really flourish. Plus, a terrible line is not helping him out at all. Luckily, for Watson he is getting Will Fuller back who can help him stretch the field to threaten teams from filling up the box against him. Their defense has been in the middle of the pack so far this year ranked 14th in yards per game against with 323 yards. They do lead the league with 15 sacks so far. However, part of that is playing the Jags and Bengals who both have mediocre lines. Some of the issues with this team in my opinion is coach Bill O'Brien who seems to like playing it safe more often than not. At some point you need to play aggressive like last week against the Pats and put them out instead of kicking the safe field goal. For an offensive guru like he is, his offenses have never lit the world on fire. At this point I think his past success was more tied with Brady than anything he actually did. The next four weeks they face off against the Titans, Chiefs, Browns, and Seahawks. That's not the most easiest schedule with three of the top defenses in the league going against their terrible o-line. Being 2-5 or maybe 3-4 is the most likely outcome.
AFC West:
Kansas City Chiefs (3-0)
- Okay, I always thought Andy Reid was the second best coach in the league behind Belichick. However, I did not see this out of this team where they are just putting up points at will it seems. Their 3rd in yards per game on offense with 397 yards per game. That's with Alex Smith at the helm who obviously feels the heat from Patrick Mahomes behind him. He has finally let the ball fly down field with abandon now that he knows his job is on the line. Not only is the passing game clicking, but they lead the league in rushing yards per game with 162 yards per game. Part of that is leading Rookie of the Year candidate Kareem Hunt leading the league with 401 yards on the season. Losing Eric Berry hurts on defense, but they still have a stout front that can take pressure of the back end. Overall, at this moment I think they are the favorites to win the AFC Championship in my book if they keep playing balanced football on all facets of the game. They have a tough match up this Monday against the Redskins where I think it could go either way. Then they face off against the Texans, Steelers, and Raiders. None of those games are definite wins, but after the way they disposed of the Patriots I can see them beating anyone they face. I will give them a 6-1 record at the end of the month with a possible loss coming from either the Redskins. Steelers, or Raiders.
Denver Broncos (2-1)
- Another team that is shocking me with how they are playing so well. I knew their defense would be fine, but how well their offense is running is quite impressive. However, they dropped the ball against the Bills. So are they the team that beat the Chargers and destroyed the Cowboys or are they the team that looked mediocre against the Bills. I think they will be some where in the middle. Their defense should be fine and stay towards the tops in the league. They currently rank 4th with 263 yards given up per game. However, their offense I think will come back to Earth after how great Siemian looked out the gate. I doubt he can keep that up and return to his back up quarterback skill set. It does help that C.J. Anderson looks back to his consistent self after a terrible year last year. Their schedule gets a bit tougher with match ups against the Raiders, Giants, Chargers, and Chiefs with a bye week sprinkled in the middle there. A respectable 4-3 record is not out of the realm for them.
Oakland Raiders (2-1)
- I feel like I was on the right track with the Raiders in my season predictions also. They will have an up and down season due to a brutal schedule that has them traveling out East a ton this year. They also have a shaky defense outside of the line that has me worried when they play teams who can pass the ball effectively. Their offense has been predictably consistent in their ability to move the ball outside of their Sunday night beat down where they did not look ready to play at all. However, I am becoming concerned with Amari Cooper's inability to catch the ball consistently. It's becoming so bad that Carr is losing faith in him. They should continue to garner hype since everyone loves their upside and young players. I just do not think this is their year in the end especially in a tough division. I can actually see them missing the playoffs as a possibility let alone making the AFC Championship game that everyone still has them doing. The next four games are tough against the Broncos, Ravens, Chargers, and Chiefs the next four weeks. Coming out with a 4-3 record like the Broncos is the most likely outcome for a team ranked 26th in yards per game against.
Los Angeles Chargers (0-3)
- Well, I was way off on this team it looks like. I had them as my dark horse team to come out of the AFC West, but already at an 0-3 record those possibilities are almost minuscule. Which, is disappointing since I truly believe this is one of the more well rounded rosters in the league from their offense to their defense. They have an upgraded offensive line, they have a stud running back in Melvin Gordon, and they have a relatively healthy receiving staff for the first time in a few years. Their defense is stout currently ranked 13th in yards per game against. So, why are they still losing games. Part of that is due to their kicking game, but that should never be the main culprit. You should be ahead in games and never have to rely on the kickers that often. Some people will point to Phillip Rivers and his picks, but he only has 4 which is one more than Rodgers, and Ryan. I think it's just bad luck for one of the more snake bitten franchises in the league. The uncertainty of where they will play moving forward may also be weighing on the players especially with the rumors that they may not even stay in Los Angeles now and may move back to San Diego or else where. They have some tough sledding the next four games against the Eagles, Giants, Raiders, and Broncos. None of those games are sure losses or wins so I will give them a respectable 2-5 record splitting those games.
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