1. Browns 0-7 (.468)
QB Sam Darnold
Darnold had a pretty bad game last week in South Bend, but nonetheless he is thus-far the no brainer for a franchise that desperately needs an injection of life. Poised, Accurate, and tough.
2. 49ers 0-7 (.522)
RB Saquan Barkley
Barkley is my number 1 ranked player in this draft. The 49ers could probably snag consolation prize QB Josh Rosen here and nobody would be mad, but Kyle Shanahans offense runs through the play action. A credible threat at RB like Barkley would open up a lot of things downfield for whoever is playing qb in 2018.
3. Giants 1-6 (.545)
Quenton Nelson, OG Notre Dame
The Giants might be reaching here, but they need a blue chip offensive lineman here bad. While Nelson might not project exactly to LT, where the Giants badly need an upgrade over Erick Flowers, adding a tough and technically sound stud can sometimes set the tone and improve the play of an entire unit, Ala RG Brandon Sherff a few years ago. The Giants have a few needs across the board so could reasonably trade out of this spot, but their offensive line is bad enough to justify the reach if they don't.
4. Colts 2-5 (.417)
DB Minkah FitzPatrick
The Colts are in a slow rebuild phase, having happily scooped up former Chiefs front office guru Chris Ballard to lead the way. Ballard will likely go defense first, and while DE Arden Key makes the most sense for the roster, so far the Alabama DB seems to talented to pass up here. Pair him with last years first round selection of FS Malik Hooker and play him at either CB or S.
An offensive lineman wouldnt be a shock here either.
5. Bengals 2-4 (.475)
Denzel Ward, CB
Seems like the Bengals take a CB in the first round every year. However, my spidey-senses are telling me that HC and GM Marvin Lewis will get the axe after this season. Whoever takes control of the roster will want to go best player available and take Denzel Ward, who is shooting up boards.
6. Buccaneers 2-4 (.512)
Arden Key, DE
Key has been an enigma as a prospect so far, but his talent is undeniable. The Buccaneers are stacked on offense, on-paper, so it makes sense to invest in a game-changer at the Edge position.
7. Cardinals 3-4 (.457)
Josh Rosen, QB
The Cards need a future at QB, and Carson Palmer is like Marley at the end of Marley and Me. No spoilers, but its time to move on. Rosen is a great value pick at 7 overall, as he could conceivably become a top tier passer in the NFL eventually.
8. Ravens 3-4 (.458)
Derwin James, S
Ravens GM Ozzie Newsome has a sixth sense of when and who to select when it comes to defensive players. Derwin James is a blue-chip baller and instantly upgrades an already talented group, and allows the Ravens to invest in the offense in the later rounds.
9. Raiders 3-4 (.511)
Bradley Chubb, DE
The Raiders could do worse than their current DE room. But Bradley Chubb is an elite pass-rusher who falls to them at pick 9, and teaming him up with fourth year phenom Khalil Mack will keep opposing offensive coordinators up at night big time.
10. Jets 3-4 (.522)
QB Josh Allen
The Jets presumably dont trade up here to secure their future in a draft full of talent at a rare and important position, and wait to take QB Allen here. They have been playing better than expected so far, but still lack a franchise QB and taking Allen here is the most sensical move.
11. Chargers 3-4 (.543)
Christian Wilkins, DT
The Chargers could go OT here, but having invested their first 3 picks on offense last year, 2 of which on the OL, it makes sense to select best player available in Wilkins. The Chargers have an underrated pass rush, and really only need a dominant DT to take it into the upper echelon. This is a selection that compliments their franchise DE Joey Bosa.
12. Bears 3-4 (.553)
Ronnie Harrison, S Alabama
Team up Harrison with last years gem Eddie Jackson who also happens to be a former teammate of Harrison at Alabama. The two have great chemistry, and the Bears need another athletic safety.
13. Cowboys 3-3 (.390)
Harold Landry, OLB
Landry will shoot up draft boards before April comes around and could possibly end up as a top 10 pick. Nonetheless, Cowboys need an athletic presence at OLB who can rush the passer, and since last years selection of Taco Charlton hasnt panned out yet I look for them to fill their only real hole on their roster here.
14. Broncos 3-3 (.425)
OT Mike McGlinchey
The Broncos desperately need an upgrade from RT Menelik Watson. McGlinchey can take over at LT, and allow 2017 first round pick Garret Bolles to play RT.
15. Browns via trade with Texans 3-3 (.488)
Orlando Brown, OT
Brown is good, could work on his strength a little bit, but with Joe Thomas out with a torn tricep, the Browns need a heir to the throne at LT to protect first overall pick Darnold.
16. Lions 3-3 (.500)
Clellin Ferrell, DE
Theres a chance redshirt sophomore sticks around in college for another year, but his freak athleticism at a position of need could be enough to lure him to the NFL after he hears his 1st round grade. Ansah leaves some to be desired as the teams top pass rusher, and the Lions would be happy to add a young stud like Ferrell to a young and talented front 7.
17. Falcons 3-3 (.590)
Christian Kirk, WR
The Falcons offense has taken a huge step back since their really embarrassing loss in the Super Bowl. They need someone to play opposite of Julio Jones, and Kirk out of A & M is the best WR for the job.
18. Redskins 3-3 (.595)
Daron Payne, DT
Redskins D-line has improved a ton from the dismal unit that the team rolled out in the 2016 campaign, and a freak high-upside athlete like Payne would play next to former teammate 2017 1st round pick Jonathan Allen to shut s-word down for the Redskins defense in 2018.
19. Titans 4-3 (.435)
Malik Jefferson, LB
Malik Jefferson is still raw, but is the most athletic and promising off-ball linebacker in this draft. Titans need somebody in the middle of the field to lead the defense and shut down the middle of the field for opposing offenses.
20. Jaguars 4-3 (.521)
QB Lamar Jackson
Team president Tom Coughlin openly does not support current starting QB Blake Bortles, and for a good reason. Jackson isnt the pocket passer that HC Doug Marrone has built offenses around in the past, but he brings enough talent and upside for the organization to want to build around him. Imagine the zone read game with Jackson and a healthy Fournette. Yikes.
21. Panthers 4-3 (.543)
Ken Webster, CB
The Ole Miss product will be solid and reliable at a position where the Panthers have been anything but. Still trying to fill the hole that CB Josh Norman left, they will take Webster here.
22. Packers 4-3 (.545)
Calvin Ridley, WR
The Packers always pick solid guys. While they might not make it to the 22nd overall pick in actuality with Aaron Rodgers out (I used a win algorithm to come up with this draft order), they will take Calvin Ridley who will be a solid weapon for Rodgers to click with in training camp as the Packers march forward and try to compete in the NFC while they still have the best QB in the NFL in his prime.
23. Seahawks 4-2 (.381)
Connor Williams, OT
Need a tackle bad! All I gotta say about that. I havent seen a team so blatantly ignore a critical of position of need for so long. The Hawks are over reliant on OL coach Tom Cables ability to turn scrubs into starters and it really shows on film. Poor Russel Wilson has been taking a beating, but now the hawks finally invest in a legitimate blindside protector.
24. Bills 4-2 (.447)
Raquon Smith, LB
A rangy linebacker to cover tight ends. The Bills had a sweet 4-3 roster but then they hired 3-4 HC Rex Ryan and he blew up the roster. Moving back to the 4-3 with former Panthers DC as their new HC, they need off-ball linebackers.
25. Dolphins 4-2 (.500)
Austin Bryant, DE
Dolphins defense is pretty bad, and they need a solid pass-rusher to play opposite of Cam Wake to get some pressure on opposing QBs and make life easier for their CBs, who have struggled too but Bryant is too good of a value pick here.
26. Saints 4-2 (.625)
DE Sam Hubbard
The Saints defense is finally looking good. Alex Okafor is playing OK-a-for now but Cam Jordan is coming into his prime and injecting talent into the defensive line will force teams to double team somebody, which will also open things up for young DT Sheldon Rankins.
27. Rams 5-2 (.413)
James Washington, WR
Jared Goff has turned things around tremendously, (as I predicted he would, but he deserves more praise than I do), and the Rams should give him and HC Sean McVay a new athletic weapon to develop around.
T28. Steelers 5-2 (.458)
Maurice Hurst, DT
I need more film from this year on QB Mason Rudock untilI can decide whether he is playing in a great system with takent around him, or whether he is truly deserving of a first round pick. Alas, the Steelers defense is coming into its own this season, and adding a solid interior lineman to play next to Tuitt will A.) free things up for outside linebackers Watt and Dupree and B.) be a smart investment because Maurice Hurst is a great value pick here.
T28. Bills via trade with Chiefs 5-2 (.458)
Derrius Guice, RB
RB Lesean McCoy is still playing at a high level, but new HC Sean McDermott is most likely wanting to establish his own regime. They could take a QB here, but none are entirely worth reaching for so instead they will take a young talented RB out of LSU to act as the "thunder" to McCoys lightning until McCoy leaves and Guice takes over.
30. Vikings 5-2 (.522)
Martinas Rankin, OT
Vikings need a legit tackle to protect whoever they roll out as their starting QB in 2018. Rankin is a great pick here, and could be awesome at the next level.
31. Patriots 5-2 (.533)
Vita Vea, Dt
The Pats D-line took a huge step back this year after dominant play one year ago. The big DT from Washington will sniff out running backs and eat double teams all day.
32. Eagles 6-1 (.468)
Tavarius McFadden, CB
Eagles roster is stacked! Give them a lock down CB and their defense is unstoppable.
|Austin Vershel||If the Giants continue to suck their way into a top 10 pick, there is no way they pass on a qb if one is available imo. Also can't see a guard being taken that high, even if they plan to move him to tackle. I agree with your reasoning behind most other picks though, but the Vikings picking at 30 is preposterous.|
|Albert Mattheis||Maybe. It really depends on how content they are with Davis Webb, but you're probably right. Also, some of the draft order is preposterous, I agree. I used a mid-season draft order calculator.|
|Kyle Kunert||I love Nelson as much as the next guy, but his teammate McGlinchey the tackle is more likely to go top five than him at guard. I think the Giants could pass on a qb if Barkley is there for them, which could happen if the 49ers can't get Cousins as their qb. I also do not think Orlando Brown goes that high as he is strictly a right tackle with his limited athleticism. Otherwise, the rest of the mock seems well thought out for one made months before the real thing.|