Stock I'm Buying:
1) Kerryon Johnson RB Auburn
- He may not be on many people's radar in a crowded class where Saquon Barkley, Nick Chubb, Sony Michel, and Derrius Guice receive more headlines. However, a guy I really love and would place a bet on him having the better career out of the whole class. Not only did he display great talent last year in front of a loaded box due to his quarterback's limited abilities, but he was terrific in finding space to make a lot of good tough runs. He also displayed pretty good hands in the open space and could help him in the modern day NFL back field where you need to do it all if you want to be successful. I also love how gritty he was down the stretch playing injured and still being able to put up good numbers.
2) Christian Kirk WR Texas A&M
- I really do not like when a player has an off year after a fantastic one and suddenly everyone thinks they are a bad player. You should be fair to the kid and assume that an amazing year is tough to put together in back to back seasons. So, if he was really high one year and down the next he is somewhere in between. In the case for Kirk, that is still a very good player and put together the fact that his quarterback play was terrible did not do him any favors. He is still a terrific explosive athlete with the ability to make any pass into a touchdown when he is in the open field. Much in the mold of Antonio Brown and Odell Beckham Jr where size is not an issue. I think the same will be of Kirk and if he blows the doors off at the Combine watch out he could go as high as #7 to the Bears.
3) Isaiah Wynn OL Georgia
- I have an affinity for offensive linemen and tend to over value them in this odd era of the NFL where they refuse to pay big for the position. Which, makes no sense since they are the most important piece to protect your high priced quarterbacks. Without a good line you go nowhere in my opinion and would rather reach for a blocker and fail than do so with a receiver. Anyways I think a blocker who should be working his way up the first round or on the edge of it is Wynn. He looked really good at left tackle despite his shorter arms against the talented Alabama line and handled the speed rushers of Oklahoma just as well. His home in the NFL may not be at left tackle, but his versatility and nasty demeanor should play well on any roster.
4) Marcus Davenport EDGE UTSA
- I feel like once every once in a while we get a small school edge rusher who slipped through the cracks of the recruiting process. Whether it be his size at the time or a him coming to football late, but there is always a handful that blow up in the draft and rise to the top. A few years ago it was Khalil Mack and to a lesser extent Ziggy Ansah. This year it's Marcus Davenport who I can not see slipping past the top 10 of the draft. I love his size, arm length, ferocity, speed, and bend around the edge. He actually reminds me a lot of Mack with similar versatility and burst. I know it will be tough for him to be as great as Mack has become, but he has that sort of potential.
5) Rashaan Evans LB Alabama
- One guy I have no clue on why he is not getting any love is Rashaan Evans. Every year prior Alabama linebackers were highly coveted from Dont'a Hightower to C.J. Mosely to Reggie Ragland to Ryan Anderson and Tim Williams along with many more. However, for some reason there is no mention of Evans even during the season as all of his teammates at the position went down he was the one constant on their defense. He looked great in coverage and in the middle of the defense. Not only that, but due to the injuries he was moved down to the edge and flashed there as well. I feel like he would be a great player who slips through the cracks to say the Patriots, Vikings, or Eagles who would definitely love to have his talent.
Stock I'm Selling:
1) Josh Rosen QB UCLA
- This guy has bust written all over him in my opinion. His laid back not caring attitude will just not work as a leader of a team at the quarterback position. Players who played with him at UCLA say the same thing when they see an actual NFL quarterback with fire in his gut to drive a team to victory. Rosen may be the best talent in terms of throwing the ball, but there is more to that in making a franchise quarterback. If he lands in a big market where distractions could get to him I can see him becoming a huge bust. Even if he lands in a nice environment does he care enough to be great. He comes from a coddled nice lifestyle that lends him to not trying as hard as he should to be great. Even at UCLA where he had talent he just never made his team into a consistent winning group like other successful quarterbacks in the NFL did when they were in college.
2) Josh Allen QB Wyoming
- My sell list is going to be filled with quarterbacks here, but for good reason. It is easier to smell a bad one than a good one coming out of a draft. Allen is another highly touted quarterback that I just do not trust. I am a stickler when it comes the 60 percent completion percentage mark at the next level. The last highly drafted one with some success in the NFL and threw lower than that mark in the NFL is Matthew Stafford. Not that Stafford is terrible, but he certainly has not lived up to his number one overall pick billing in my opinion. Also Stafford put those numbers up at Georgia against better competition, while Allen has done it at a much lower level at Wyoming. Do not point out that his teammates dragged him down when he faced off many teams in his conference with similar talent. In my opinion, I would draft him in no sooner than the 2nd round and sit him for a year in a perfect world. However, I see him being over drafted much like Bortles was for his potential and size than actual production. If so I can see him flaming out if forced to play too soon.
3) Baker Mayfield QB Oklahoma
- I promise this is my last quarterback on this list. It baffles me with how easily the media becomes infatuated with the next darling out of the Big 12. Where it is basically a pillow fight where no one plays defense and every game turns into a stat stuffer for the quarterbacks trying to keep up with each other. Not only is Mayfield small, not that athletic, has a weaker than ideal arm, but he has never gone against a really stout defense week to week. The one good defense he went against was Georgia and they got to him throughout the second half. You can tell it got to him as he got happy feet and tried to get rid of the ball sooner than he had to or forced a ball into a tight window. I also do not love the fact that he has a video where got chased down by cops and has had his bouts of immaturity issues. Any other position I would look the other way, but I want a firm head on my quarterbacks shoulders. To me he is the next Tim Tebow since he was also a "great teammate, hard worker, passionate football player who just knows how to win." There's more to quarterbacking to just winning games in the Big 12 and until you show me a successful Big 12 quarterback in the NFL I will continue to sell Mayfield's stock.
4) Tremaine Edmunds LB Virginia Tech
- I am not a fan of drafting off ball linebackers high in the first round due to their little impact on an overall game. Just look at a team like the Buccaneers who have three terrific linebackers in Lavonte David, Kendell Beckwith, and Kwon Alexander. Even with them they still had one of the worst defenses. Look at Luke Kuechly one of the best linebackers in the league misses a ton of time every season it seems and still the Panthers defense is still at the top. In today's NFL you need elite edge rushers and corners if you want a great defense. Linebackers are just the icing on the cake if their off the ball. Edmunds to me is kind of positionless as he is being seen as an edge rusher or off ball backer. Which, is an issue if I am going to draft a guy high in the first round. I want to know where he can play right away at a high level. Also, I think Edmunds is more athlete than a pure football player and it shows as his instincts are below average when he takes his route to the ball. I just do not see him being a great player deserving of a top 10 pick like some suggest.
5) Denzel Ward CB Ohio St
- For some reason people like to talk up the Buckeyes as being the great DB U of the NFL now. Show me the proof outside of Marshon Lattimore who had a great rookie season, but sophomore seasons are always tough when team's have more tape on you. Eli Apple is not a stud, Gareon Conley hardly saw the field on a terrible secondary, Bradley Roby is a forgettable player out in Denver, and even their safeties have underwhelmed. Ohio St has great athletic talents, but none ever really excel in the NFL and part of that I think is on Urban Meyer by not actually developing them and just has them on a conveyor belt to the NFL to help his recruiting pitches. Ward to me is much too small to exceed as a true shut down corner and reminds me a lot of Vernon Hargreaves who I loved coming out of Florida. Then after his struggles I realized how important size and length are at the position that even great athletes like Hargreaves could not over come it. Ward to me is more on the side of Roby than Lattimore on the "Buckeye DB U" spectrum and to me is not worthy of a top 10 selection in that case.
Braden Smith OG Auburn
- Like I said, I love the o-line and how undervalued it is. If I were running a team I would have no problem spending more money on that unit than my receivers who provide little value if my quarterback is getting battered around all game long. One guy who is getting little love on the line in this guard heavy draft is Braden Smith. He reminds me a lot of guys like Dan Feeney, Cody Whitehair, and other not highly athletic blockers, but just good football players. Put on his tape of him going against Clemson's talented front and your jaw will drop as he held his own more than well enough. He did get beat occasionally, but not without giving it up without a fight. His base and anchor are fantastic. If a team can get him as late as the 3rd round I think they will have a great instant starter for a long time.
|Austin Vershel||I think that Marcus Davenport professional outlook is closer to small school edge rushers from last year like Hasson Reddick and Tonah Kpassagnon rather than Khalil Mack. Combine will provide strong insight, Great edge rushers almost always have tremendous athletic profiles.|
|Kyle Kunert||I don't know I wasn't a buyer of Reddick due to his lack of size or Tanoh Kpassagnon due to his overall rawness. I really do see him resembling Ziggy Ansah or Khalil Mack due to his motor and athleticism. Me sort of reminds me of Melvin Ingram from the Chargers in terms of size, versatility, and motor.|